Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 9.047401e-05 0.000109 0.000130 0.000153 0.000178 0.000206 0.000237
2024-10-06 6.818588e-05 0.000092 0.000120 0.000153 0.000192 0.000235 0.000286
2024-10-13 5.526411e-05 0.000082 0.000114 0.000153 0.000201 0.000255 0.000321
2024-10-20 4.284206e-05 0.000070 0.000105 0.000150 0.000205 0.000270 0.000350
2024-10-27 3.591876e-05 0.000064 0.000101 0.000150 0.000213 0.000288 0.000382
2024-11-03 2.596564e-05 0.000052 0.000089 0.000140 0.000207 0.000289 0.000393
2024-11-10 2.396543e-05 0.000052 0.000091 0.000148 0.000224 0.000316 0.000436
2024-11-17 1.859022e-05 0.000045 0.000085 0.000144 0.000224 0.000325 0.000455
2024-11-24 1.394818e-05 0.000038 0.000078 0.000138 0.000222 0.000328 0.000468
2024-12-01 1.051522e-05 0.000033 0.000072 0.000134 0.000222 0.000335 0.000485
2024-12-08 7.966802e-06 0.000029 0.000068 0.000131 0.000222 0.000342 0.000502
2024-12-15 5.558760e-06 0.000025 0.000062 0.000126 0.000220 0.000344 0.000514
2024-12-22 3.075395e-06 0.000020 0.000057 0.000123 0.000224 0.000362 0.000552
2024-12-29 1.646941e-06 0.000016 0.000053 0.000123 0.000233 0.000386 0.000599
2025-01-05 8.100651e-07 0.000014 0.000050 0.000123 0.000242 0.000408 0.000643
2025-01-12 2.300865e-07 0.000010 0.000045 0.000120 0.000244 0.000422 0.000678
2025-01-19 5.555963e-08 0.000009 0.000043 0.000121 0.000253 0.000445 0.000723
2025-01-26 NaN 0.000006 0.000037 0.000112 0.000246 0.000445 0.000738
2025-02-02 NaN 0.000005 0.000038 0.000119 0.000265 0.000482 0.000803
2025-02-09 NaN 0.000004 0.000034 0.000115 0.000265 0.000493 0.000833
2025-02-16 NaN 0.000003 0.000030 0.000110 0.000263 0.000500 0.000856
2025-02-23 NaN 0.000002 0.000027 0.000107 0.000264 0.000510 0.000884
2025-03-02 NaN 0.000001 0.000024 0.000104 0.000265 0.000521 0.000914